Investing Fads

Investing Fads

Investing fads are popular stocks or other investments that enjoy substantial short-term gains. A great example of a fad is the company Crocs (CROX), which went public in 2006 at $21 per share. The maker of rubber shoes enjoyed great success as the demand for sandals expanded from a boater's or gardener's shoe to acceptable everyday footwear. An investing fad is a temporary run up in a stock or other asset driven primarily by market enthusiasm and is not sustainable over the long term. The dotcom bubble was an example of an investing fad in which investors were more inclined to purchase a stock if its business had even the slightest exposure to the internet. However, during the run up in a stock's price, whether the gains are a sustainable trend or a short-term fad is always an open question.

An investing fad is a temporary run up in a stock or other asset driven primarily by market enthusiasm and is not sustainable over the long term.

What Are Investing Fads?

Investing fads are popular stocks or other investments that enjoy substantial short-term gains. Investing fads are normally characterized by a temporary excessive enthusiasm for a certain investment or style, which is by definition unsustainable over the long term.

The dotcom bubble was an example of an investing fad in which investors were more inclined to purchase a stock if its business had even the slightest exposure to the internet. That fad ended when the dotcom bubble burst.

An investing fad is a temporary run up in a stock or other asset driven primarily by market enthusiasm and is not sustainable over the long term.
Fads differ from trends that are based on solid underlying fundamentals and can produce strong performance over a longer term.
Distinguishing between a fad and a trend is a difficult challenge but can prove to be highly profitable.

Understanding Investing Fads

Investing fads are sometimes confused with trends, but there is a major difference. Trends persist over the longer term and are usually based on fundamentals, whereas fads often die down after a shorter period. When investing, it is helpful to understand whether you are participating in a fad or a trend. For investors who know when to get in and get out, fads can provide a portfolio boost. However, if investors get caught up in the hype, they'll likely lose money when the fad dies.

While fads are easily distinguishable from trends in retrospect after the fad has failed, in the moment this is often not the case. Once the fad is over, then of course hindsight is 20/20. However, during the run up in a stock's price, whether the gains are a sustainable trend or a short-term fad is always an open question. 

Example of an Investing Fad

The hype was extremely positive from the time the stock began trading publicly. Quarterly sales often grew by triple digits. In October 2007, just 20 months after going public, the stock rose to more than $70 per share. On October 31, 2007, the company reported quarterly earnings that saw revenue increase by 130 percent. But after making such a dramatic move higher, the revenue gain was not good enough for investors, and the stock began a protracted decline to a low of around $1 in November 2008.

Making Money on Investing Fads

Money can be made on fad investing, but timing the purchase and sale of the stock is key. From an investment standpoint, the entry point is extremely important because a fad can move from an unknown to the stratosphere in a short period of time. The best chance to make money on an investing fad is when and if it becomes an investing trend. Both fads and trends tend to begin in similar places with lots of hype.

The key to determining which direction the company will take depends on the viability of the product and the willingness of the company to adapt to changing market demands. Thus determining if a fad has the potential to become a trend requires a great deal of research and insight into a given industry and a company's place in it.

Related terms:

Bubble Theory

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Bull

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Dotcom Bubble

The dotcom bubble was a rapid rise in U.S. equity valuations fueled by investments in internet-based companies during the bull market in the late 1990s. read more

Echo Bubble

An echo bubble is a post-bubble rally that becomes another, smaller bubble in the same sector or market where the first one occurred. read more

Irrational Exuberance

Irrational exuberance refers to investor enthusiasm that drives asset prices higher than those assets' fundamentals justify. read more

New Paradigm

In the investing world, a new paradigm refers to a revolutionary way of doing things that replaces the old way. read more

Revenue

Revenue is the income generated from normal business operations. read more

Rich Valuation

Rich valuation refers to an asset, usually a stock, trading at a price that is high compared to its historical average, current performance, or peer group. read more